tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-13521613862090455022024-02-19T23:54:01.124+01:00MintKit HubMintKit Hub is a gateway for investors interested in sound growth in a global marketplace. The objective is to unveil trends, pinpoint patterns, and explore paths for the future in order to support a wholesome program of investment. The vehicles for investment in the financial arena range from stocks, bonds and funds to options, futures and forex. Meanwhile, the assets in the real economy center on commodities and real estate.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger89125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-64592235778174706722023-08-03T22:42:00.001+02:002023-08-10T00:35:54.193+02:00Top 11 Uses of Artificial Intelligence for Investors<p> </p>
<center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Brainy Bots </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>for </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Boosting Returns and Shrinking Risks</i></span></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgounaCrfGtDG13UK-KRrZDxL7hOSS4gCEvsvvU0Qmx-efMhqFjKRqQOXG6tyeSRgAUdNc4t2DJZU926o_Gc62ZFh9nFTkvD5j6EqpTu26DQPIPs85lJVu06Cwk7B_CYClIvpX4MkpVxKFgg-VXOiUAKOKZNzbYQ-olOweFxROB4xyzSrW41bbp_AZpvjgS/s720/Top%2011%20Uses%20of%20AI%20for%20Investors%20%23Snap.jpg" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="568" data-original-width="720" height="158" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgounaCrfGtDG13UK-KRrZDxL7hOSS4gCEvsvvU0Qmx-efMhqFjKRqQOXG6tyeSRgAUdNc4t2DJZU926o_Gc62ZFh9nFTkvD5j6EqpTu26DQPIPs85lJVu06Cwk7B_CYClIvpX4MkpVxKFgg-VXOiUAKOKZNzbYQ-olOweFxROB4xyzSrW41bbp_AZpvjgS/w200-h158/Top%2011%20Uses%20of%20AI%20for%20Investors%20%23Snap.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>Artificial intelligence is the ultimate tool for all investors ranging from novices to veterans. This report presents the top 11 roles for smart agents. The functions span the spectrum from market analysis, trend discovery, and asset appraisal to sentiment review, scenario scanning, and risk management. The examples deal mostly with applications in the stock market. However, the same concepts and methods apply to other asset classes ranging from bonds and options to commodities and realties.</div><div><br /></div><div>A brainy bot can scour the real and financial markets to detect patterns, uncover trends, and extract useful insights. For this purpose, the agent may digest information in motley forms ranging from text and graphics to audio and video. The smartbot can summarize the contents for busy investors then devise deft strategies for boosting returns while pruning risks. In short, virtual agents act as friendly guides and tireless aides for savvy investors who want to expand their horizons and improve their performance in a complex and dynamic environment.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">Notes</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full report is titled, “<i>Top 11 Uses of Artificial Intelligence for Investors: Brainy Bots for Boosting Returns and Shrinking Risks</i>”. The ebook is available in <i>EPUB </i>format at the <a href="https://archive.org/details/top-11-uses-artificial-intelligence-investors" target="_blank">Internet Archive</a>. Meanwhile, an alternate form of the booklet appears in <i>Kindle </i>mode at <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CDJN2PBF" target="_blank">Amazon</a>. </div><div><br /></div><div>A digest of the report has been cast into a <i>video </i>under the title of “Top 11 Uses of Artificial Intelligence for Investors: From Vetting Stocks and Forecasting Trends to Boosting Gains and Cutting Risks”. While the main title is identical, the subtitle differs somewhat. The briefing is available at a couple of sites including <a href="https://youtu.be/TwiUzPdKyt4" target="_blank">Youtube</a> and <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7092964319788765184" target="_blank">Linkedin</a>. 🤖 </div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-90006259818352764542023-05-20T18:33:00.022+02:002023-05-20T18:33:00.138+02:00Top Trends in Artificial Intelligence<p> </p>
<center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Market Forecasting </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>for Innovators and Investors </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>till 2030 and Beyond</i></span></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3IZNUNI-WuCKf-D_bzmtniiqvj4Vd3kbs9aWwfiHKAdqY0K-DotMMqw6vPjtGoxr86dWtdHdgVJhNY3YE3MrhCeNPxG40OJET_g_s3xMyp_0EbyOJHSfS9kkSAP_Yx2cVH-0heQf1a9nuLmbVP82zikFBwbNXbAhsJaAug5YXnEWTxFbpzG6SzkAU6w/s700/Top%20Trends%20in%20AI%20%23icon.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="591" data-original-width="700" height="169" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3IZNUNI-WuCKf-D_bzmtniiqvj4Vd3kbs9aWwfiHKAdqY0K-DotMMqw6vPjtGoxr86dWtdHdgVJhNY3YE3MrhCeNPxG40OJET_g_s3xMyp_0EbyOJHSfS9kkSAP_Yx2cVH-0heQf1a9nuLmbVP82zikFBwbNXbAhsJaAug5YXnEWTxFbpzG6SzkAU6w/w200-h169/Top%20Trends%20in%20AI%20%23icon.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>Artificial intelligence is reshaping the entire economy in areas ranging from farming and healthcare to leisure and artwork. The technology and its applications will continue to revamp one industry after another. As a result, the global economy should more than double by 2030. </div><div><br /></div><div>One payoff will be a bonanza for the fledgling ventures and established firms that embrace the technology with gusto. The payout is similar for the shrewd investors that bankroll the plucky entrepreneurs and feisty companies at the leading edge. On the glum side, though, legions of slick operators will hype up the gleaming prospects on the horizon to pump up tinsel outfits, thus wheedling billions of dollars from millions of gullible investors. Sadly, the bilkers and their backers will go bust in droves. </div><div><br /></div><div>To sum up, the ascent of artificial intelligence will unleash a renaissance in areas ranging from science and business to healthcare and culture. As the revolution unfolds, a core of tuned-in players who make the right moves will reap a cornucopia of rewards amid the greatest creation of wealth the world has ever seen.</div><div><br /></div><div> </div>
<span style="color: red;">Notes</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full report is titled “Top Trends in Artificial Intelligence”. The ebook is available at several sites on the Internet. For instance, the booklet may be downloaded in the handy <i>EPUB </i>format at <a href="https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/1394435" target="_blank">Smashwords</a> (however, the <i>HTML </i>version of the report – which was generated automatically for direct display on a browser – contains some minor flaws in formatting). Moreover, an alternative form of the ebook lies in the <i>Kindle </i>mode at <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0C5DKGDJY" target="_blank">Amazon</a>. </div><div><br /></div><div>The report has also been recast into a video bearing the same title. The briefing is available at <a href="https://youtu.be/TPXjEOZCtY4" target="_blank">Youtube</a>, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7064648456463613953" target="_blank">Linkedin</a>, or <a href="https://archive.org/details/top-trends-in-artificial-intelligence" target="_blank">Internet Archive</a>. 🤖 </div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-19777204568917779582023-01-07T18:31:00.042+01:002023-01-08T10:24:23.147+01:00MintKit Growth Index – Final Report<p> </p>
<center><center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>A Lean Benchmark </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>of the Stock Market</i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>for Spry Growth </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>at Modest Risk </i></span></center></center><center><br /></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://is.gd/ZUOIAm" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;" target="_blank"><img border="0" data-original-height="1200" data-original-width="800" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjHYNYYCSUHSFA6YYPvppFPEWZ_N9EKoABMQJezlJZqKp3BG5yjHGbaZ7zTKgjolE862kK9x7tR5UuCP1Uqa6kmpjYpmrXmDv44JowQ2n0Z0H18XGAg8xWt7twyko53_FiI9ZJVA9a8hh9dACLbxZCyouNMnYcGhYs-r1UN60T_vZ0VbaFawvaWwPcRmQ/w133-h200/MintKit%20Growth%20Index%20-%20Final%20Report%20%23Snap.jpg" width="133" /></a></div>A pool of lively stocks based on equal weighting can beat the top benchmark of the bourse at modest risk over a representative window that covers a full cycle of boom and bust. Moreover, the setup requires a minim of time and effort; to wit, culling a dozen stocks or less in a single session lasting a couple of hours each year.</div><div><br /></div><div>The lean strategy was tracked by the MintKit Growth Index (MGX). Since the streamlined method applies to portfolios both large and small, it befits a personal account as much as a large vessel such as a mutual fund or a pension fund. In particular, the lithe approach suits a busy investor who can devote only a dollop of time and effort to minding their portfolio.</div><div><br /></div><div>The case study ran for half a decade starting in 2018. During this stretch, the representative window on the market spanned four years ending in 2021. Over that timespan, the sparky lodestar eclipsed the top benchmark of the bourse; namely, the S&P 500 Index (SPX). More precisely, the MGX gained 18.4% per year on average as opposed to 15.5% for the SPX over the same period.</div><div><br /></div><div>In short, the study affirmed the merits of a combo of equal weighting, deft selection, and light handling of a lean portfolio. Simply put, a demure but mindful approach to tending spry stocks using equal weights can outpace the SPX. Moreover, the superior performance may be attained at modest risk by devoting only a couple of hours in a single session each year.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">Note</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full review is titled “MintKit Growth Index – Final Report”. The document may be downloaded in <i>PDF</i> mode at <a href="https://www.mintkit.com/gist" target="_blank">MintKit Gist</a> or <a href="https://archive.org/details/mintkit-growth-index-final-report" target="_blank">Internet Archive</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-60165650866903060372022-11-24T18:31:00.015+01:002022-11-24T18:31:00.218+01:00Why Central Banks Fail in Fighting Inflation and Recession<p> </p>
<center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Roundup of Acute Problems </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>and Wholesome Solutions </i></span></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXRvXIZT-E2-3Q1ki0AZgp1kJnTNbp5UkXwh6SEc3eEhdllHNj2IWs0sCrA_djG2-yiXoAIHNW3SHX99Qh611B3qnMRTkZpFB86EQX28a2bFzXC8ygLrsD2wquHTPc1jtHvpN_3Pzs-mRUGWPfFtxKpJMIp7K1KKvTX74zUzW3fX1Nroi-pwJZ1YDe4Q/s852/Why%20Central%20Banks%20Fail%20in%20Fighting%20Inflation%20and%20Recession%20%23Icon.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="451" data-original-width="852" height="169" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXRvXIZT-E2-3Q1ki0AZgp1kJnTNbp5UkXwh6SEc3eEhdllHNj2IWs0sCrA_djG2-yiXoAIHNW3SHX99Qh611B3qnMRTkZpFB86EQX28a2bFzXC8ygLrsD2wquHTPc1jtHvpN_3Pzs-mRUGWPfFtxKpJMIp7K1KKvTX74zUzW3fX1Nroi-pwJZ1YDe4Q/w320-h169/Why%20Central%20Banks%20Fail%20in%20Fighting%20Inflation%20and%20Recession%20%23Icon.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><div><div>Central banks often botch their mission to pursue high employment and stable prices while avoiding the dual banes of inflation and recession. The direct cause of the foul-up: a focus on lagging signals rather than current signs, let alone leading cues. Simply put, the stewards drive the economy while staring at the rear-view mirror. </div><div><br /></div><div>According to an old adage, economists have predicted 7 out of the last 3 recessions. Remarkably, though, one type of maven in the business world wields superb skills in pegging business cycles including early signs of recession and inflation.</div><div><br /></div><div>On the glum side, the blunders of central banks pose merely the tip of the iceberg of stumpers in the public sector. On the bright side, however, the proper course becomes clear enough once the sinkers have been charted and fathomed. From a larger stance, the culture of an entire society – namely, the totality of values and customs – does not change overnight. For this reason, the full range of problems surveyed here will not be redressed anytime soon.</div><div><br /></div><div>Yet, one hang-up in particular could and should be cured at once; namely, the shortfall of practical knowledge among the central banks of the world. The main deficit concerns the web of causes and effects behind the business cycle in areas ranging from waves of commercial activity and shifts in consumer demand to sprouts of budding inflation and curbs on hiring policies. </div><div><br /></div><div>As a remedy, a central bank worth the name ought to form a Board of Operative Counsel and pay heed to the insights and suggestions on hand. The Board should comprise a handful of adepts fully versed in the workings of the marketplace. In this light, an entrepreneur has learned through wrackful experience how to grasp the key factors ranging from the cost of inputs and shifts in demand to the bloat of inventory and need for layoffs. From the converse stance, a self-starter who does not learn to read the winds of change turns promptly into a failure and a dropout.</div><div><br /></div><div>To sum up, the central banks of the world botch their roles due to patchy knowledge of the driving forces as well as actual conditions in the marketplace. For starters, the policymakers rely on woolly models sprung from ivory towers. The airy yarns include fairy tales such as the boundless wisdom of producers and utter rationality of consumers, the instant adjustment of prices and perfect allotment of resources. One byproduct is a false faith in inapt yardsticks, as in the likes of lagging signals including the unemployment rate and the consumer price index. </div><div><br /></div><div>In a nutshell, the public sector suffers from myriads of flaws. A showcase involves the political class that panders to hoggish factions to the detriment of the entire society. Another sample concerns a shallow grasp of the driving forces in the economy along with their knotty impacts in areas ranging from production and employment to consumption and inflation. Happily, though, a cogent picture of the ills sets the stage for wholesome cures for public policy including monetary strategy.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">Notes</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full report is titled “Why Central Banks Fail in Fighting Inflation and Recession”. The ebook may be downloaded in <i>EPUB </i>format at <a href="https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/1183857" target="_blank">Smashwords</a>, or in <i>Kindle </i>mode at <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0BN46RZM1" target="_blank">Amazon</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-18517229436803946182022-10-07T18:34:00.010+02:002022-10-07T18:34:00.179+02:00Top 5 Boosters for Tesla till 2025<p> </p>
<center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Combo of </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Internal and External Forces </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Driving the Stock </i></span></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqEHSsflxqBZ7yrkG1OBdxES9Kr4U6Mdr5rML8EMFM2w4IbT-HjXtYDZf9xB61D-586-vo06fFyC6Pjqq2Zngpp0QqX84i7WDoFwuzqM92Li1lgyw1C-vSpmR24lFBb4q-R5lDtYjrkLAbSxqZU7xQ9odfK1Hu7GXGwZKk9bf6AKv5-5nmMFr2norZuw/s786/Top%205%20Boosters%20for%20Tesla%20till%202025.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="661" data-original-width="786" height="168" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqEHSsflxqBZ7yrkG1OBdxES9Kr4U6Mdr5rML8EMFM2w4IbT-HjXtYDZf9xB61D-586-vo06fFyC6Pjqq2Zngpp0QqX84i7WDoFwuzqM92Li1lgyw1C-vSpmR24lFBb4q-R5lDtYjrkLAbSxqZU7xQ9odfK1Hu7GXGwZKk9bf6AKv5-5nmMFr2norZuw/w200-h168/Top%205%20Boosters%20for%20Tesla%20till%202025.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>The top 5 reasons for Tesla to surge until 2025 include internal as well as external factors. The boosters range from supply chains and novel factories to government spurs and election patterns.</div><div><br /></div><div>An example of an internal driver lies in manufacturing innovation, as in the case of a giant casting that replaces the entire rear underbody of a car comprising some 70 parts. Another sample concerns the ramp-up of fledgling factories in Germany and Texas, each of which will reach the first stage of mass production by early 2023 along with lush economies of scale.</div><div><br /></div><div>Meanwhile, an external facet appears in a broad program of government incentives. Thanks to its talents in multiple fields, Tesla is uniquely placed to grasp the fresh opportunities in areas ranging from battery cells and electric cars to solar roofs and power systems. Another sample concerns the gradual easing of supply constraints in the wake of the coronavirus pandemic. The go-getter has largely cleared the bottlenecks even though the shortage of supplies continues to hamper many other firms round the world. </div><div><br /></div><div>In short, Tesla and its stock are poised to rocket higher over the next few years. Moreover, the prospects over the long range are so stellar as to challenge the limits of prescience and credence at this early stage.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">Notes</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full report is titled “Top 5 Boosters for Tesla till 2025”. The ebook is available at a number of sites in cyberspace. For instance, the booklet may be downloaded in EPUB format at the <a href="https://archive.org/details/top-5-boosters-for-tesla-till-2025" target="_blank">Internet Archive</a>; or in Kindle mode at <a href="https://amzn.to/3e6sbO5" target="_blank">Amazon</a>.</div><div><br /><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-39338585580788878752022-08-20T18:32:00.017+02:002022-08-20T18:32:00.170+02:00How Tesla Beats Entrenched Giants<p> </p>
<center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Top 5 Virtues </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>of Grit and Speed </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Over Greed and Sloth</i></span></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZ0t8RSG5Uu7qKXqx2LopYIuO2pes-5yJaJ6o-AEjgcrHMrH5QvMgKCQTp4pxYp4RXJCEZi_XUxjCtEXwBVDjE68FiH8uZspzz1snTj54QlC08AHRmUCfm-ja2O90fnZwUh09tHipkMvyUCxra7BS0fvVVNIhyfxIjQ7kWAozSbx1C0z1Y8UH3-B3umw/s1056/How%20Tesla%20Beats%20Entrenched%20Titans.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1056" data-original-width="816" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgZ0t8RSG5Uu7qKXqx2LopYIuO2pes-5yJaJ6o-AEjgcrHMrH5QvMgKCQTp4pxYp4RXJCEZi_XUxjCtEXwBVDjE68FiH8uZspzz1snTj54QlC08AHRmUCfm-ja2O90fnZwUh09tHipkMvyUCxra7BS0fvVVNIhyfxIjQ7kWAozSbx1C0z1Y8UH3-B3umw/w154-h200/How%20Tesla%20Beats%20Entrenched%20Titans.jpg" width="154" /></a></div>Year after year, scores of entrenched giants make loud claims about overtaking Tesla in vital fields ranging from electric cars and self-driving programs to solar roofs and motile batteries. An example involves a pack of gassy carmakers such as Ford and General Motors, Mercedes and Toyota. </div><div><br /></div><div>Sadly, though, the dinosaurs steeped in the past will never match Tesla, let alone outrun the prodigy. Although Tesla is now a large company, it still sizzles with the creative spark and work ethic of a fresh startup at the cutting edge of innovation. </div><div><br /></div><div>The hoary firms love to trumpet gusty plans to close the gap with Tesla within a handful of years. By the time the laggers reach their milestones, however, the leader will have moved on to the next generation of technologies and products, followed by another wave of brainstorms after that. As a result, the dinos mired in the old ways will never catch up. Instead, the stragglers will continue to fall behind for reasons aplenty ranging from greed and sloth to myopia and ineptitude.</div><div><br /></div><div>In due course, the dodos will fall by the wayside and die off in droves. Granted, a few oddballs here and there might eke out a mangy existence in skimpy niches such as dinky cars or specialized trucks, quirky toys or exotic pets. </div><div><br /></div><div>In that case, the honchos in charge of the holdovers will doubtless pat themselves on the back for surviving the upheavals wrought by Tesla. Yet, the scrawny remnants of the old order will scarcely resemble their hulky forms of bygone days when life was still laid-back and slow-paced.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">Notes</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full report is titled “How Tesla Beats Entrenched Giants”. The ebook may be downloaded in EPUB format at <a href="https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/1161511" target="_blank">Smashwords</a>; or in Kindle mode at <a href="https://amzn.to/3dJRdlc" target="_blank">Amazon</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div>Moreover, a short video offers a preview of the report. The clip, labeled “How Tesla Routs Reigning Titans”, is available on <a href="https://youtu.be/yj4EjNYDWQk" target="_blank">Youtube</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-70867451432157179732022-06-20T18:30:00.001+02:002022-06-20T18:30:00.243+02:00Myths versus Facts Behind Asset Diversification<p> </p>
<center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Tesla Spotlights </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>Pitfalls and Safeguards </i></span></center><center><span style="color: magenta; font-size: medium;"><i>in Risk Management </i></span></center></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRZE_1qOTwExSQLQCLP46IwDIT5L2lLYk6yPqwEv8ZNXGQ9j8EEL9tG5VT05z49oEEifScF7YxIwyla9aSR7d4UrdKCIu1IS37b2ET7-i5pchaaBnA-EVP_yR-bSJ8QBOBRVMw3nTOX0_yomwsIUzTsyOGbImUYYjtXVzaaX4YVKRpAKC9A_9vgHZ3bg/s1056/Myths%20versus%20Facts%20Behind%20Asset%20Diversification.jpg" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1056" data-original-width="816" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiRZE_1qOTwExSQLQCLP46IwDIT5L2lLYk6yPqwEv8ZNXGQ9j8EEL9tG5VT05z49oEEifScF7YxIwyla9aSR7d4UrdKCIu1IS37b2ET7-i5pchaaBnA-EVP_yR-bSJ8QBOBRVMw3nTOX0_yomwsIUzTsyOGbImUYYjtXVzaaX4YVKRpAKC9A_9vgHZ3bg/w154-h200/Myths%20versus%20Facts%20Behind%20Asset%20Diversification.jpg" width="154" /></a></div>The goal of asset diversification lies in shrunken risk for equal gain. This precept, however, shrugs off a host of grave dangers in the real and financial markets. An example involves an investor who allots a uniform sum to the firms in a newborn industry. Unfortunately, the vast majority of hatchlings are doomed to perish within a few years if not months. </div><div><br /></div><div>Another instance of flawed diversity concerns an index fund trained on a dynamic market such as clean energy. The products at hand could range from solar cells and electric cars to motile batteries and basic materials. In that case, the stocks will likely be weighted by their valuations on the bourse. However, certain markets such as commodities should at length contract in a green and sustainable economy. Moreover, many a miner will be poorly placed to harness the uprise even in the odd niches that do grow in the interim. </div><div><br /></div><div>In these and other ways, a gung-ho approach to diverseness is fraught with perils. An exception to prove the rule concerns a bellwether named Tesla. The mass of investors treats the vanguard as little more than a carmaker. Yet, the beacon also leads the way in other areas such as charging stations and advanced batteries, self-driving software and power grids. Given this backdrop, the sage investor sidesteps the markets staked by Tesla and expands instead into remote fields that lie beyond the firebrand’s sights for the foreseeable future.</div><div><br /></div><div>In the larger scheme of things, the foul-up of asset diversification is a rampant reason for the failure of investors and pundits alike to keep up with the benchmarks of the stock market. As an antidote, a solid grasp of the myths and mistakes is a basic step toward crafting a sound program of investment.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">Notes</span></div><div><br /></div><div>The full report is titled “Myths versus Facts Behind Asset Diversification”. The document may be downloaded in EPUB format at <a href="https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/1152388" target="_blank">Smashwords</a>; in Kindle form at <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0B4HJJBX1" target="_blank">Amazon</a>; and in PDF mode at the <a href="https://archive.org/details/myths-versus-facts-behind-asset-diversification" target="_blank">Internet Archive</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div>Moreover, a short video provides a preview of the report. The clip, labeled “Best Way to Diversify Beyond Tesla”, is available at <a href="https://youtube.com/shorts/kyW7kD-QtHM" target="_blank">Youtube</a>.</div><div><br /><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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<div> </div><div style="text-align: center;">#Investing $TSLA </div><div><br /></div><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p>
</div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-91315053597485554532022-01-09T17:36:00.001+01:002022-01-09T18:49:04.653+01:00Tesla Stock Forecast for 2022 and Beyond<p> </p>
<center style="color: magenta;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Restrained Model Augurs Booming Prices</span></center>
<center style="color: #007bff;"><br /></center><center style="color: #007bff;"> — </center><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh6lWdsAxwXNSpI83IlwxHwsrYvqrG-V6WJye6UrTumYroRVnuzH4259MAaR_kPahDWXNPfIk7_tT53obdIPdGJQp5q-w4kHrJD_R57-5nFP19bL2Rm-rKEZy2szywBdtLtJsmx-4XceXCG4dcbz2zZtAK4JqsPNNuDp5DbCysUy2FGWU0q5iIJJJ5ttA=s960" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="960" data-original-width="540" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh6lWdsAxwXNSpI83IlwxHwsrYvqrG-V6WJye6UrTumYroRVnuzH4259MAaR_kPahDWXNPfIk7_tT53obdIPdGJQp5q-w4kHrJD_R57-5nFP19bL2Rm-rKEZy2szywBdtLtJsmx-4XceXCG4dcbz2zZtAK4JqsPNNuDp5DbCysUy2FGWU0q5iIJJJ5ttA=s320" width="180" /></a></div>A combo of recent trends and proven records suggests that Tesla will shatter records and shower investors with flush returns. The mainspring lies in the upsurge of revenues which should trump last year’s record by well over 50%. In that case, the profits will balloon as sales further exceed the breakeven point. </div><div><br /></div><div>A lean and conservative model of Tesla projects the stock to grow by nearly 95% over the course of 2022. Moreover, the zesty uptrend should on the whole prevail for many years to come.</div><div><br /></div><div>Remarkably, the boldest forecast from a survey of financial analysts reflects an uprise of the stock by just 31.7% a year hence. In relative terms, the base case from the compact model is three times the highest guesstimate of the pundits.</div><div><br /></div><div>On the bright side, the pioneering firm has to date turned in a rousing performance in areas ranging from novel products and manufacturing breakthroughs to productivity hikes and revenue gains. On the glum side, though, the firebrand faces a host of hurdles such as jejune technologies and outmoded regulations along with production constraints and supply disruptions. Given the tussle of opposing forces, the actual outcome could end up a lot higher or somewhat lower than the current outlook. </div><div><br /></div><div>Despite the hurdles downstream, Tesla is slated to surpass its performance to date by a hefty amount. The records to be broken run the gamut from production volume and cost reduction to net income and stock value. While the future is never certain, some things are more likely than others. </div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><p><span style="color: red;"><b>Notes</b></span></p><p>The full report is titled, “Tesla Stock Forecast for 2022 and Beyond”. The briefing is available as an ebook at <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B09Q2CJZFR" target="_blank">Amazon </a>or <a href="https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/1125752" target="_blank">Smashwords</a>. </p><p>Meanwhile, a preview of the material appears as a short video labeled, “Tesla Stock Forecast for 2022+”. The clip may be viewed at <a href="https://youtu.be/r6GcoILGfrc" target="_blank">YouTube </a>or <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@trendvis/video/7051257348643474693" target="_blank">TikTok</a>. </p></div><div><center><span style="color: #17db09;">* * * </span></center>
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</div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-71539999824374281082022-01-07T16:57:00.000+01:002022-01-07T16:57:20.950+01:00Tesla as an Aggressive Growth Fund<div> </div><span style="color: #ff00fe; font-size: medium;"><div style="text-align: center;">A Diversified Pool </div></span><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #ff00fe; font-size: medium;">of </span></div><div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #ff00fe;"><span style="font-size: medium;">High-tech Ventures</span></span></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #2b00fe;"> </span><span style="color: #007bff;">——— </span></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjqG0R8vO7InRRl0SoTurTBJh_nPRYn1SZimo1aTD3TK3dyCTCCZjIKAHNM01UxKKH2bXiwmTmWv_EtYoJzFj8iklvNVddgOBCRQamRRavYMr2gaOAswz9-WnscB_lbEvNpH37ZTaLGD2QLzqHj0-_OJpBPRzuU2v0TqhYtyAshhvSdPwL4IJehLsk2NA=s1920" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1080" data-original-width="1920" height="113" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjqG0R8vO7InRRl0SoTurTBJh_nPRYn1SZimo1aTD3TK3dyCTCCZjIKAHNM01UxKKH2bXiwmTmWv_EtYoJzFj8iklvNVddgOBCRQamRRavYMr2gaOAswz9-WnscB_lbEvNpH37ZTaLGD2QLzqHj0-_OJpBPRzuU2v0TqhYtyAshhvSdPwL4IJehLsk2NA=w200-h113" width="200" /></a></div>Tesla makes waves by building novel products for a sustainable economy starting with electric cars. As a mark of success, the dynamo has single-handedly created a mass market for clean vehicles.<div><br /></div><div>Since its debut in 2003, the pioneer has gradually branched out into adjunct markets and turned into a conglomerate of high-tech ventures. The product lines on hand run the gamut from self-driving cars, solar cells, and potent batteries to insurance plans, neural supercomputers, and humanoid robots.</div><div><br /></div><div>To be sure, Tesla is a single company from a formal stance. Even so, the wunderkind in practice bears a constellation of startups in motley sectors of the economy. For this reason, a stake in Tesla reflects a diversified portfolio of technologies and applications.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The report is a video titled, “Tesla as an Aggressive Growth Fund”. The briefing is available at <a href="https://youtu.be/aUke96qFbXs" target="_blank">Youtube </a>or <a href="https://vimeo.com/663357145" target="_blank">Vimeo</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div>Meanwhile, a preview of the report appears as a video clip titled, “Tesla as a High Growth Fund”. The nugget may be viewed at <a href="https://youtu.be/F1z_4iHwfWI" target="_blank">Youtube </a>or <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@trendvis/video/7050123270225464582" target="_blank">TikTok</a>.</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div>
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<div> </div><div style="text-align: center;">$TSLA #Investing</div><div><br /></div><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p></div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-13022493692527655202022-01-02T17:08:00.005+01:002022-01-16T13:06:39.944+01:00MintKit Growth Index – Update 2022<div><br /></div><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #ff00fe; font-size: medium;">A Benchmark for Spry Growth at Modest Risk</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><br /></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhrR6CJcwMpcdbqBkYn9-sZYMbZxI8k2mnUUTDUkx05VcJa_enOi6fKCf_snPDMMxGMRv6KREu3lbnpnALKgReijZ2kt2gGdYetZ9xuerML00e_1ARcJQ3GIr6hDxVucLA-L4LsSywxlZkTBM5Rge39cTgUgC5Sf0A_Shlq3mCFA-6HHJxObkNc-DfSZQ=s687" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="687" data-original-width="631" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhrR6CJcwMpcdbqBkYn9-sZYMbZxI8k2mnUUTDUkx05VcJa_enOi6fKCf_snPDMMxGMRv6KREu3lbnpnALKgReijZ2kt2gGdYetZ9xuerML00e_1ARcJQ3GIr6hDxVucLA-L4LsSywxlZkTBM5Rge39cTgUgC5Sf0A_Shlq3mCFA-6HHJxObkNc-DfSZQ=w184-h200" width="184" /></a></div>The coronavirus plague that ravaged the global economy in 2020 continued to linger in diminished form during the past year. On the upside, though, the real economy as well as the stock market trudged ahead without any major problems. <p></p><p>After thrashing around during the spring and autumn, the bourse reached all-time highs by the end of 2021. As a result, the flagship benchmark – namely, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) – rose by 26.9% from the previous year. </p><p>When the stock market forges ahead, high-growth stocks tend to outrun their plodding peers. On the glum side, though, high-flying firms in China broke down en masse this year. Among them was Alibaba – a component of the MintKit Growth Index (MGX) – which plunged by 49%. Other washouts in the Index included a couple of mining firms, each of which lost around one-quarter of its value. As a result, the benchmark advanced by just 13.2% during the year.</p><p>From a broader stance, however, the MGX still managed to outpace the SPX. To wit, the Growth Index gained 18.4% per year on average since its debut, as opposed to 15.5% for the S&P yardstick over the same stretch.</p><p>From a different angle, the MGX upon its launch was set to unity (1); that is, 100 percentage points. Given this baseline, the Index reached 196.6695 points at the end of last year.</p><p>Looking downstream, the outlook for 2022 is roughly comparable to the previous year’s. The real economy will continue to recover from the drubbing dealt by the pandemic. In that case, the stock market should tramp higher as well.</p><p>As usual, the revised roster for MGX takes a moderately aggressive approach. To wit, the goal for the new year centers on ample growth at modest risk rather than huge potential at great peril.</p><p>On a fulfilling note, this will be the fifth and last year of the current experiment that began in 2018. That is, the project to maintain and appraise the MGX will conclude at the end of 2022.</p><p>On the other hand, the basic methodology behind the Growth Index will prevail for the foreseeable future. An example involves an expansion of the screening procedure to include option contracts as well as common stocks, or a variation among the weights assigned to the members of the Index. In these and other ways, the studies downrange will break free of a number of artificial fetters imposed on MGX during the current experiment.</p><p><br /></p><p><span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The report is a slide presentation under the title of “MintKit Growth Index – Update 2022”. The briefing is available in PDF mode at <a href="https://www.mintkit.com/gist" target="_blank">MintKit Gist</a>.</p><div> </div><center style="color: #38761d;"> * * * </center>
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZTuEXGoxxffXA-fU-Ji7pv1uGNu63JXaCHvslkPPTk8HtI0T7eOHf8WQVPxSs6YrfupxtqIQygyfYFaWsPTg22TitbrftQUGGdTXfVR6ya-eGPrTrQSp36c9b0hvaLLmsH0vDKBM4phzz/s495/Tesla%25E2%2580%2599s+Triumph+Over+Monster+Media+%2523Flyer.jpg" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="495" data-original-width="350" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiZTuEXGoxxffXA-fU-Ji7pv1uGNu63JXaCHvslkPPTk8HtI0T7eOHf8WQVPxSs6YrfupxtqIQygyfYFaWsPTg22TitbrftQUGGdTXfVR6ya-eGPrTrQSp36c9b0hvaLLmsH0vDKBM4phzz/s320/Tesla%25E2%2580%2599s+Triumph+Over+Monster+Media+%2523Flyer.jpg" width="226" /></a></div>The stories told by the mass media should be treated with a healthy dose of skepticism. The iffy claims run the gamut from historical details and current events to ongoing trends and future prospects. In addition to witless goofs, the media at times willfully distort facts and fabricate tales to serve their own ends. A showcase involves a decades-long campaign to hamper Tesla in its mission to foster clean energy. The newsmongers prefer instead to plug their free-spending sponsors, thus protecting the boodle of billions of dollars per year by way of advertising along with “donations” from fossil-fuel carmakers and the like. </div><div><br /></div><div>The tirades against Tesla by the media and their patrons have long hindered the maverick in its efforts to build advanced products starting with electric cars. Year after year, the war of words stymied the raise of billions of dollars needed to create and manufacture complex goods for a mass market. Even today, the bashers pound the firm and keep the stock from reaching its fair value. </div><div><br /></div><div>On the upside, though, a gutsy corps of investors has buoyed the stock especially since 2020. In fact, a swelling throng of consumers and well-wishers is grasping the hard facts behind the dense calls of Tesla’s doom. The upheaval underway affords a golden opportunity for long-term investors. While no single asset or strategy befits all comers, some choices are better than others. For instance, a groundswell of players is learning to prize Tesla and its stock. The upgrowth reflects the natural progression of large-scale forces and macrolevel trends in green energy along with a sustainable economy. Even so, the outlook pictured here should not be viewed as a recommendation of any kind at the microlevel of the singular investor.</div></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The ebook, titled “<i>Tesla’s Triumph Over Monster Media</i>”, is available from several sources on the Net. An example involves the Kindle edition at <a href="https://amzn.to/3DUKf5M" target="_blank">Amazon</a>. Another instance concerns the PDF mode at the <a href="https://archive.org/details/teslas-triumph-over-monster-media_2021" target="_blank">Internet Archive</a>. A third sample lies in <a href="https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/1102508" target="_blank">Smashwords</a>; at the time of writing, only the EPUB and PDF versions at the latter site were free of formatting glitches. The <a href="https://calibre-ebook.com/download" target="_blank">Calibre</a> app is a good way to read an EPUB file with a minimum of fuss as well as formatting flaws.</div><div><br /></div><div>$TSLA #investing #trends #finance #business</div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><center style="color: #38761d;"> * * * </center>
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</div><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-44858066346497892742021-05-29T19:38:00.001+02:002021-05-31T18:29:39.911+02:00Tesla’s Superpower<div> </div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #ff00fe;">Advantage of Radical Innovation </span></b></div><div style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #ff00fe;">Over Marginal Progress</span></b></div><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi63_8L8WtA0HpOgcKFZzSGdiaUJcR83xaXNuK-3zb9TJsLWCxi_yhT4gyCcgSCBrISUiagjuwa9K5Ra_4GaNaJs-bv25gHUT3C9N0PI4elGT3_wevCOOPxugeTWmB7OW-ZKEwaSyUW79ve/s1527/Tesla%252C+Superhero.jpg" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1527" data-original-width="1080" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi63_8L8WtA0HpOgcKFZzSGdiaUJcR83xaXNuK-3zb9TJsLWCxi_yhT4gyCcgSCBrISUiagjuwa9K5Ra_4GaNaJs-bv25gHUT3C9N0PI4elGT3_wevCOOPxugeTWmB7OW-ZKEwaSyUW79ve/w226-h320/Tesla%252C+Superhero.jpg" width="226" /></a></div>The best form of competitive advantage lies in radical innovation at warp speed on all fronts. The sweeping strategy finds its foremost champion in Tesla the pioneer as it blazes new trails in diverse domains ranging from electric cars and solar roofs to software agents and power grids. <p></p><p>For this purpose, a ground rule prescribes the buildup of products and processes starting from <i>first principles</i>. Another pillar lies in <i>full-spectrum dominance</i> in the marketplace. The wholesome factors explain, for instance, how Tesla earns a plump profit on every car it sells while the old-line vendors suffer dire losses on their electric models. From a larger stance, the pacesetter succeeds in disparate fields where so many have failed before.</p><p><br /></p><p><span style="color: red;">
NOTE</span>: The full report is titled, “Tesla’s Superpower”. The document is available in PDF mode at <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/351970838_Tesla's_Superpower_Advantage_of_Radical_Innovation_Over_Marginal_Progress" target="_blank">ResearchGate</a>. </p><p>#Investing #Tesla #Outlook #Business #Strategy</p><center><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div><span style="color: #38761d;">* * * </span></center>
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</div><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-8280389597137600382021-01-16T18:35:00.004+01:002021-01-19T22:23:32.824+01:00Why the Price-Earnings Ratio is a Hoax<div> </div><div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #ff00fe; font-size: medium;"><i>Tesla Spotlights </i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #ff00fe; font-size: medium;"><i>the </i></span></div><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: #ff00fe; font-size: medium;"><i>Curse and Cure</i></span></div></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><div><br /></div><div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPOMiaF_BcW7wnDb80UHqjGoPXJKJsHHbCcJ61LQc8UPUptjlSBB_uRhgEAx7NLq2-i5T_ST2Ll7y01tKEBOtnCsnUZe25bm6NUAjiEgkaD1JfqWKvIF-baYKNNX4GSA-5KD0A4eHj2MDJ/s747/Hoax%252C+PE+Ratio+%2523Flyer.jpg" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="747" data-original-width="415" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiPOMiaF_BcW7wnDb80UHqjGoPXJKJsHHbCcJ61LQc8UPUptjlSBB_uRhgEAx7NLq2-i5T_ST2Ll7y01tKEBOtnCsnUZe25bm6NUAjiEgkaD1JfqWKvIF-baYKNNX4GSA-5KD0A4eHj2MDJ/w178-h320/Hoax%252C+PE+Ratio+%2523Flyer.jpg" width="178" /></a></div>According to a rampant hoax, the ratio of <i>price to earnings</i> (PE) is the mainstay for gauging a stock for investment. The yardstick is meant to divine the likely direction and extent of the price level downstream.</div><div><br /></div><div>Unfortunately, the PE ratio can and often does vary hugely from one stock to another whatever their future prospects might be. Moreover, the quotient has a way of swinging wildly over time even for a given equity. As a result, the PE metric is hereby exposed as a treacherous guide to predicting the market. </div><div><br /></div><div>According to the party line, a high value of PE implies that the stock is overpriced and will thus crumple before long. In reality, though, the quotient can remain lofty for ages or even climb higher. </div><div><br /></div><div>From a different angle, the PE quotient tends to rise with the likely rate of growth in future earnings. For this reason, the PE ratio relative to the growth rate is a much better yardstick for vetting a stock. </div><div><br /></div><div>That is, the PE ratio may be divided by the growth rate, <i>G</i>. The latter term denotes the estimate of growth in earnings on an annual basis, expressed as a percentage of the profits actually garnered over the previous 12 months. The resulting quotient is known as the <i>PEG </i>yardstick.</div><div><br /></div><div>The PEG is far more consistent than the PE throughout the stock market. As a consequence, an extreme level of PEG goes a long way in gauging whether a stock is overpriced, underpriced, or moderate.</div><div><br /></div><div>Despite this fact of life, the mass of participants – ranging from part-time amateurs to full-time professionals – believe the PE ratio to be the mainstay for valuation. As we noted earlier, though, the PE varies a great deal regardless of future prospects and is therefore pretty much useless for sizing up a stock. Instead, the PEG yardstick provides a better metric by far in gauging the zest for the widget among market participants.</div><div><br /></div><div>On a positive note, investors in the aggregate seem to grasp the bunkum behind the PE ratio on a subconscious plane even as they affirm its primacy at a conscious level. Here is an example where people say one thing, but do something else.</div><div><br /></div><div>To round up, investors are impulsive creatures that like to band together. For instance, the plungers pile into the ring in the heat of a bubble and flee en masse in the freeze of a panic. One upshot is a wild ride in the ratio of the current price to past earnings. For this and other reasons, the PE is a lousy guide to valuation. On the bright side, though, the punters are far more consistent when the PE is adjusted by the future growth of earnings. </div><div><br /></div><div>Here is a rare instance where the actors as a group do the sensible thing despite their faulty grasp of the marketplace. Whether or not a gamer believes in the fable of the PE, they must act according to the PEG in order to prevail. Otherwise they suffer the consequences and often pay dearly as a result. </div><div><br /></div><div>In short, the shrewd investor in order to survive and prosper has to pursue a cogent strategy in practice even if they embrace the myth of the PE from a conceptual slant. In reality, the PEG is a far better gauge for divining the current appeal and future promise of all manner of stocks.</div></div><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><div><span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The full report is titled, “Why the Price-Earnings Ratio is a Hoax”. The document in PDF form is available at <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348549582_Why_the_Price-Earnings_Ratio_is_a_Hoax_-_Tesla_Spotlights_the_Curse_and_Cure" target="_blank">ResearchGate</a>. </div><div><br /></div><div><div>#Investment #Tesla #Stocks #Growth #Hoax #Myths</div></div><div><br /></div><div><br /><center style="color: #38761d;"> * * * </center>
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Following its debut in 2011, the MintKit Institute has pursued a wide-ranging program of research on vital issues in finance and economics. The studies have unveiled the true nature of the marketplace and refined basic strategies for ample growth at modest risk. The topics in focus range from beguiling myths and rampant mistakes in the financial forum to secular trends and public policies in the real economy.<br />
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In this endeavor, MintKit is now joined by a kindred spirit in the form of Kenwave Research. The mission of the latter is to develop supple tools for decision making in complex fields. For this purpose, the core techniques span the rainbow from multivariate models and robust statistics to neural networks and genetic algorithms. Moreover, an integrated approach that combines two or more methods can yield synergetic results that enhance the strengths of elemental schemes while bypassing their respective flaws.<br />
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Hybrid methods of this sort can excel in knotty domains rife with chaotic structures and erratic events. The applications of the methodology range from scientific discovery, medical diagnosis, and business strategy to financial forecasting, socioeconomic planning, and public policy.<br />
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The programs at MintKit and Kenwave display some similarities as well as differences. An example of a shared trait lies in the systematic approach to probing cryptic systems and making deft decisions at the frontiers of innovation and enterprise.<br />
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A related hallmark resides in the dual strategy of plumbing the innate nature of murky domains while forging trenchant solutions to tricky problems. In particular, a <i>descriptive </i>portrait of a mazy system captures the pith of the subject despite the mantle of myths and misconceptions that confounds the world at large. Meanwhile, a <i>prescriptive </i>template corrals the findings and provides the groundwork for wholesome action.<br />
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From the converse stance, MintKit and Kenwave differ in crucial ways. A key distinction concerns the objectives of the research agenda. To wit, MinKit pursues a spectrum of applications geared toward bracing growth in a global marketplace along with salient functions such as financial forecasting and public policy. By contrast, Kenwave assumes a technical slant keyed to pliant tools for complex tasks regardless of the domain.<br />
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Despite their separate charters, however, the two parties share a common interest in the area of decision making in financial economics; that is, the crossroads of dicey markets and stringent methods. The intersection of ambits affords plenty of opportunities for collaboration. The promising projects may be classified into two broad types: factual knowledge to capture the marrow of the marketplace as well as mantic modeling to pave the way for cogent action.<br />
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Moreover, the shared interest in finance and economics represents the mainstay of the research program at Kenwave in the early stages. The role of the newcomer centers on quantitative studies to assess the qualitative models developed at MintKit. To this end, Kenwave draws on a medley of extant and newborn techniques in data science in areas ranging from protean graphics and nonparametric statistics to causal modeling and machine learning.<br />
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To round up, the partnership between MintKit and Kenwave entails a series of creative projects dealing with the real and financial markets. The case studies make use of ductile tools to fathom abstruse systems abounding in chaos and complexity. The resulting harvest of insights and guidelines provides the fodder for passive frameworks as well as active templates to bolster decision making in diverse domains.<br />
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The audience for the joint studies includes the readers of the reports prepared by MintKit Institute as well as the users of the software crafted by Kenwave Research. The interaction of the research hubs renders a bounty of rewards to both parties. The ultimate beneficiary is the global community of stakeholders that partakes of the results.<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-13959954760591014042020-01-01T20:40:00.001+01:002020-01-01T20:41:50.053+01:00MintKit Growth Index – 2020 Update<div>
<h3 style="text-align: center;">
<i style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: magenta;">A Benchmark for Spry Growth at Modest Risk</span></i></h3>
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After enduring a crash in late 2018, the stock market scrambled higher over the past year. Despite a few fallbacks along the way, the bourse racked up hefty gains in the end. In particular, the flagship benchmark—namely, the S&P 500 Index (SPX)—rose by 28.9% during 2019. <br />
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When the stock market forges ahead, high-growth stocks tend to surpass their plodding peers. In keeping with the norm, the MintKit Growth Index (MGX) climbed by 33.5%.<br />
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From a larger stance, the MGX upon its launch was set to unity (1); that is, 100 percentage points. Starting from this baseline, the Index reached 117.6893 points at the end of last year.<br />
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Looking downstream, the outlook for 2020 is humdrum compared to the slant over the past year. The main damper lies in the prospect of a recession in the U.S. by 2021. Given the frailty of the economy, the stock market is slated to flail around a lot more than press ahead. In that case, the bourse will at best chalk up a modest return over the year to come. <br />
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In this tepid environment, it seems prudent to seek stable growth rather than zippy gains going forward. For this reason, the revised roster for MGX takes a somewhat conservative approach much like the tack taken in 2019. To sum up, the goal for the coming year centers on sturdy growth with ample stability rather than lusty vigor with stellar potential.<br />
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The report is a slide presentation under the title of “MintKit Growth Index – Update 2020”. The file is available in PDF form at <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/gist" target="_blank">MintKit Gist</a>.<br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-16503547741836213952019-01-01T19:09:00.000+01:002019-01-01T19:19:53.957+01:00MintKit Growth Index – 2019 Update<div>
<h3 style="text-align: center;">
<i style="text-align: center;"><span style="color: magenta;">A Benchmark for Spry Growth at Modest Risk</span></i></h3>
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The stock market thrashed around a great deal in 2018. The initial flap involved an upsurge that began around the end of the previous year. The upthrow soon gave way a smackdown within a few weeks.<br />
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Following an upward trudge during the spring and summer, the market lurched lower in the autumn. As a finale, the bourse sustained a jarring crash in December: a rare event for this time of year.<br />
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When the stock market flounders, high-growth stocks tend to thrash around more than their plodding peers. Not surprisingly, the MintKit Growth Index (MGX) fared worse than the stock market as a whole.<br />
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We may reckon the initial value of the Index upon its launch as unity (1); that is, 100 percentage points. In that case, the newfound level of MGX at the onset of 2019 comes out to 88.1746 points.<br />
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Since the Index fell by some 11.8% last year, it fared worse than the SPX which lost 6.2% over the same stretch. That much was to be expected given the heightened sensitivity of high-growth stocks to the movements of the stock market at large.<br />
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Looking downstream, the prospects for 2019 are not much better than last year's. In particular, the market is slated to soar and dive a couple of times during the year.<br />
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In that case, it seems prudent to favor stable growth rather than zippy gains over the year to come. For this reason, the revised roster for MGX takes a slightly conservative approach by seeking sturdy growth with ample stability rather than sparkling pep with lofty potential.<br />
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The report is a slide presentation under the title of “MintKit Growth Index – Update”. The file is available in PDF form at <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/gist" target="_blank">MintKit Gist</a>.<br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-83534862992060779962018-09-15T18:33:00.000+02:002018-09-15T18:33:06.170+02:00Forecast of Top Index Funds – Long View Till the 2030s<div>
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<span style="color: blue;"><i><b>ETF Review and Outlook for DIA, SPY and QQQ</b></i></span></div>
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A review of the top index funds paves the way for a coherent approach
to forecasting and investing in the stock market. From a pragmatic
stance, the choice vehicles lie in the exchange traded funds for the
leading benchmarks of the bourse. The latter consist of the Dow Jones
Industrial Average, the S&P 500 index, and the Nasdaq 100
yardstick. For these stalwarts, the tracking funds take the form of
<i>DIA</i>, <i>SPY</i> and <i>QQQ</i> respectively.</div>
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Within the tangible economy, the conditions have not changed a great
deal since the Great Recession. On the downside, the politicians of
the West went out of their way to solidify the distortions in the
housing sector that emerged en route to the financial crisis of 2008.
A showcase of bungling involved trillions of dollars in bailouts for
gutted banks that had succumbed to their own reckless schemes. In
this way, the pols kept alive some of the biggest and most
unproductive firms in the economy.
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The struts put in place also prevented the property sector from
shedding the mountain of blubber it had built up during the housing
bubble that led to the financial fiasco. Given the enormity of the
shackles imposed, the economy as a whole was consigned to wheeze and
limp at least until the 2020s.
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In this shaky environment, the prospects for the industrial nations
are lackluster at best. A glaring example lies in Europe which
continues to wallow in the doldrums. Given the torpor of the
senescent regions, the emerging markets of the world are fated to
slog ahead mostly on their own power.
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Luckily for investors, though, several factors have softened the
blows dished out by the politicos. One tonic lies in the bloom of the
world economy, along with the swell of profits for global firms
ranging from Apple and Boeing to Google and Visa. Another boost comes
from the revamp of the U.S. tax code in 2017 along with the surge of
corporate earnings to follow.</div>
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Better yet, vanguard firms make deft use of digital technologies
ranging from online platforms to smart agents. The crank-up of
productivity by the spearheads has enabled the stock market to fare
much better than the real economy. Moreover the tailwinds have plenty
of room to run over the years and decades to come.
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On a cautionary note, though, the upswell of the bourse during the
late 2010s and afterward will lure a growing number of punters out of
the woodwork. As a result the market will get ahead of itself from
time to time. The DIA fund, for example, will continue to slump by a
handful of percent every few years as well as slam into full-fledged
crashes a couple of times per decade. On the bright side, the
crackups will deter the general public from stampeding the bourse
during the 2020s. In that case, a full-blown bubble will not arise
until the subsequent decade.
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On the whole, the turning points for the top benchmarks occur around
the same time. Despite the linkage, though, every index dances to its
own tune tempered by a host of historical landmarks, psychic drivers,
and market forces. To cite an offbeat example, the investing public
faced a mental hurdle lying at 20,000 points for the Dow index; but
the benchmark trotted past the milestone in 2017 with only a brief
pause due to the ebullience of the madding crowd at the time.</div>
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As a rule, the junior members of the bourse surge when the senior
ranks trudge higher. Examples of springy groups lie in bantam firms
and emerging regions. For instance, an icon of the small fry lies in
an index fund that sports the ticker symbol of <i>IWM</i>. On the
whole, the lightweights have a way of outpacing the heavyweights such
as DIA and SPY.</div>
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On a downcast note, the developing markets turned in dismal results
during and after the Great Recession. The standard bearers in the
field, which flaunt the call signs of <i>VWO</i> and <i>EEM</i>,
bounced around but made no progress throughout the decade following
the bust of the housing bubble.</div>
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In the United States, the real economy has crawled along at a couple
of percent a year on average in the millennium. The meager increase
in output and income did not come close to justifying the huge surge
of the stock market during the 2010s. As we noted earlier, though, a
growing fraction of the profits for American firms comes from foreign
markets. Thankfully, the world economy in toto should expand at a
crippled but bearable pace of 3% a year or so on average over the
next few decades.
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At the microlevel of the singular firm, a go-getter can often crank
up its net income by several times any upturn in revenues. For
instance, a hustler that expands its online sales by 10% might
increase its profits by thrice that much. Given this backdrop, an
uprise in earnings of 15% a year on average till the 2030s lies fully
within reach of the Dow index that represents diverse sectors of the
marketplace.
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From a larger stance, the foregoing figure of 15% also jibes with the
second half of an expansive wave that straddles the real economy and
financial forum. More precisely, the stock market has a custom of
flourishing when the commodity market flounders; and vice versa. This
supercycle, comprising the inverse hookup between the cost of raw
materials and the pot of corporate earnings, lasts some 34 years on
average.
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The last trough of the commodity cycle in the physical economy
cropped up in tandem with the peak of the Internet craze in 2000.
From the burst of the digital bubble to the middle of the 2010s, the
stock market thrashed around but did not get very far. The exemplar
involved the cave-in followed by the retrace of the Nasdaq market to
its prior peak. The good news, however, is that the bourse in the
mid-2010s has shown patent signs of starting the upward phase of the
supercycle. If the past is prologue, then the future looks bright for
the equity mart till the middle of the 2030s or thereabouts.</div>
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Long before then, however, international investors should by the
early 2020s venture in droves beyond the relative safety of the U.S.
bourse. In that case, the feisty vessels such as VWO will chalk up
roughly twice the gains snagged by the chief benchmarks such as DIA
and SPY. Moreover the ascent of the emerging regions should parallel
the rousing performance of QQQ despite the endless hail of sideswipes
and smackdowns to beset all manner of markets along the way.</div>
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To sum up, the leading companies earn a blooming share of their
profits from the budding countries. For this and other reasons, the
DIA fund is slated to enjoy an uptrend of some 15% a year on average
until the 2030s. In that case, the corresponding turnout for SPY
should be a few percent higher. Meanwhile QQQ ought to rack up
percentage gains reaching into the 20s per year on average. The
latter feat also applies to the corps of bantam firms tracked by the
IWM fund as well as the emerging markets in the form of EEM and VWO.</div>
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The full ebook is available in PDF form under the title of <i>Forecast of Top Index Funds for Investing in the Stock Market</i> at <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/lib" target="_blank">MintKit Library</a>.<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-54404135307926354732018-01-02T03:23:00.000+01:002018-01-03T08:01:02.144+01:00MintKit Growth Index<div>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><span style="color: blue;">A Benchmark of the Stock Market</span></b></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><span style="color: blue;">for</span></b></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><span style="color: blue;">Sprightly Growth at Modest Risk</span></b></div>
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The ideal of investment lies in a robust strategy for high growth at low risk. Granted, a perfect solution could never emerge in an imperfect world such as ours. Even so, certain approaches toward the objective make more sense than others.<br />
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By received wisdom, the leading benchmarks of the stock market are cogent and meaningful portraits of the action on the bourse. Sadly, though, the reality differs greatly from the mirage.<br />
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For starters, the renowned indexes track the stocks in the prime of their lives rather than the entirety of their lifespans. In the process, the yardsticks gloss over the fact that death is the way of life for all companies along with their equities. The outcome is a grossly distorted picture of the payoff for the entire throng of shareholders over the long range.<br />
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Even in the near term, the traditional benchmarks have little or no bearing on the mass of participants. For instance, many an index monitors a group of stocks according to their market caps.<br />
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While this approach may befit a profile of the bourse as a whole over the short run, the unbalanced scheme has scant relevance to the thoughtful investor who is most unlikely to load up their portfolios according to the market caps of the stocks at hand.<br />
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For these and other reasons, the traditional benchmarks are unsuitable as beacons for the investing public. Instead, a worthwhile index should address the true concerns of serious investors in areas ranging from pertinent metrics to workable strategies.<br />
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An example of a fruitful scheme involves the equal weighting of stocks within a benchmark. The benefits lie in conceptual elegance as well as practical relevance for the participants. Another drawcard is the tendency of uniform weighting to deliver higher returns compared to the labored scheme based on market caps.<br />
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In seeking a trusty path, a basic step is to canvass the timeworn benchmarks in multiplex areas ranging from conceptual soundness and logical rigor to common sense and pragmatic import. The wholesome assay then leads to guidelines for designing trenchant beacons suited to investors in tending their private portfolios. The enhanced framework is showcased by the MintKit Growth Index: a model benchmark geared toward promising stocks poised for zesty growth at modest risk.<br />
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The briefing is titled, “MintKit Growth Index”. The slide presentation may be viewed as a document in <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/gist" target="_blank">PDF</a> form or a video in <a href="https://youtu.be/GDMRgeXJnHc" target="_blank">MP4</a> mode.<br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-67828302684815252632017-05-25T18:31:00.000+02:002017-05-25T18:31:00.197+02:00Rewards of Investing in Real Estate through Index Funds, Not Actual Properties<div>
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<div style="text-align: center;">
<b><span style="color: magenta;">Higher Payoff with Less Effort</span></b></div>
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Real estate represents the greatest store of wealth for the bulk of the human population. With the exception of owning a home for personal use, however, holding a property for the purpose of investment usually entails a raft of headaches. The nettlers of this kind run the gamut from emergency repairs and maintenance costs to problematic tenants and sporadic vacancies. As a result, the net earnings usually fall a goodly amount below the gross returns reckoned in terms of the monthly rent.<br />
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On the upside, though, holding an index fund in the financial forum tends to pose far less headaches than renting out actual dwellings in the real economy. Granted, the experience of any given person could differ from that of another. Even so, many an investor enjoys a higher rate of return through an index fund for real estate than the mass of landlords can eke out by renting out actual properties in the marketplace.<br />
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The briefing is available under the following title: “Rewards of Investing in Real Estate through Index Funds, Not Actual Properties”. The PDF document may be downloaded from <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/lib" target="_blank">MintKit Library</a>. In addition, a capsule in the form of an infographic poster is available at <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/gist" target="_blank">MintKit Gist</a>.<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-75020397490779719372017-03-01T23:01:00.000+01:002017-03-01T23:01:04.894+01:00Trillion Dollar Agenda for Global Growth through Social Capital<div>
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For the economy to grow, the actors in the marketplace need to expand the overall output rather than jostle each other for bigger shares of the available output. To this end, the productivity level may be boosted through a comprehensive program of social capital.<br />
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Based on the experience of the 20th century, the rich countries of the world could afford to commit US$1 trillion per year for a couple of decades. According to a compelling scenario, the total investment of $20 trillion in nominal terms will comprise $13.6 trillion in current dollars since the funds will be disbursed over time rather than spent at once.<br />
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Using conservative estimates, the present value of the benefits will exceed $3.39 <i>quadrillion</i> which represents a payback of 249 times the original investment. In this way, the windfall from a global program of social capital should far surpass the outlay required for its implementation.<br />
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>. The full report is available under the following title: “On the Economic Returns from a Global Program of Social Capital”. The document, available in PDF form, may be downloaded from the <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/lib" target="_blank">Library at MintKit</a>.<br />
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1352161386209045502.post-15695736370278239642017-01-27T18:32:00.000+01:002017-01-31T22:47:10.094+01:00Forecast of Top Index Funds for Equities – 2017 and Beyond<div>
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<b><span style="color: blue;">ETF Review and Outlook </span></b></div>
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<b><span style="color: blue;">for DIA, SPY and QQQ</span></b></div>
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A review of the top index funds clears the ground for a coherent approach to forecasting and investing in the stock market. For this purpose, the vehicles of choice lie in the exchange traded funds for the leading benchmarks of the bourse. The latter consist of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 index, and the Nasdaq 100 yardstick. For these beacons, the tracking vehicles take the form of DIA, SPY and QQQ respectively.<br />
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By contrast to received wisdom, the financial forum is entwined with the real economy not only in the future but also the present which depends on the past. In view of the linkups, the mindful investor has to examine the landmarks in the backward direction as well as the outcrops in the current environment in order to sketch out the prospects downstream.<br />
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Moreover, the course of the markets going forward depends on the conditions today along with the contours of the landscape downrange. For this reason the survey ought to draw on the driving forces at this juncture as well as the likely upthrows over the coming year and beyond.<br />
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From a practical stance, the companies listed on the stock market earn their living within the economy at large. That much is true even in the case of virtual firms such as online retailers and brokerage houses. For this reason, the aggregate level of economic output plays a vital role in corporate earnings and thus the price patterns on the bourse.<br />
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Within the tangible economy, the conditions have not changed a great deal over the past few years. On the downside, the politicians of the West have gone out of their way to solidify the distortions in the housing sector in the wake of the financial crisis of 2008. A showcase involved the prop-up of some of the biggest and most unproductive firms in the economy. In particular, the politicos in motley countries shunted trillions of dollars into bailouts for a ragbag of gutted banks that had succumbed to their own reckless schemes.<br />
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To make matters worse, the struts put in place have prevented the property market from shedding the mountain of blubber it had built up during the manic bubble in real estate prior to the financial blowup. Due to the shackles imposed, the economy as a whole has been consigned to gasp and limp well into the 2020s.<br />
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In this shaky environment, the prospects for the industrial nations are lackluster at best. A glaring example lies in Europe, which continues to wallow in the doldrums. Given the torpor of the rich countries, the emerging markets round the world will have to slog ahead amid the general weakness of the global economy.<br />
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On a positive note, though, the U.S. has been recovering slowly from the disruptions caused by the housing craze and its aftermath. The mangling of the markets during the bubble was compounded by a rash of knee-jerk reactions by the pols, as in the likes of lifelines for ruined banks coupled with crutches for real estate. After stumbling for half a decade in the aftershock of the Great Recession, the U.S. economy has recently taken some steps toward regaining its health.<br />
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In the financial forum, the stock market often anticipates the real economy by half a year or so. For this and other reasons, the American bourse in particular is poised to head higher as the year rolls on.<br />
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On the downside, though, the main cumbrance of course lies the frail health of the economy. The chains of production and distribution were bent severely out of shape amid the riot of speculation during the housing frenzy prior to the financial flap of 2008, followed by the orgy of government spending and money printing in the years to follow. Given the breadth and depth of the traumas, the economy has only recently begun to recover in earnest from the abuse it received at the dawn of the millennium.<br />
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Moreover, the politicos will make a lot of noise about boosting the economy during the first year of the 4-year Presidential cycle in the U.S. Regardless of the substance – or lack of such – behind the clatter, the happy talk will shore up the spirits of millions of voters and investors. The fond hopes of the investing public will help the market in crawling higher over the course of the year.<br />
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For the past year and more, the main hurdles for DIA stood at $175 followed by $185 after which came a landmark at $200. The gap between the last two figures is $15. After adding the difference to the latest milestone, we end up with $215. In relative terms, the next milepost at $215 lies 7.5% higher than the $200 totem reached at the onset of 2017.<br />
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As is often the case at the beginning of the year, the market will thrash around more than press ahead during the months of January and February. The splash of turmoil will drag down the Diamonds toward the prior milestone at $185, after which the market should regain the $200 level once more during the spring.<br />
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After that flip-flop, the index fund is slated climb to $215 by the summer before falling back. Then the tracking fund will head for the $225 mark. On the other hand, we can expect the Diamonds to crumple as usual during the third quarter. In that case, the index fund should return to the $200 zone within a couple of months. That pullback should occur by the winter, after which the Diamonds will tramp toward the $225 zone once again. With a bit of luck, the index fund will loiter around the latter target as the year wraps up.<br />
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The Diamonds closed out 2016 at $197.51. In that case, the milepost at $225 represents an increase of nearly 14%. The latter figure is the default target for the end of this year in spite of – and due to – the gyrations along the way.<br />
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As a rule, the market hits a major landmark at least three times before it can break through in earnest. For this and other reasons, the prospects for 2018 are muted at best. Looking at the big picture, the default script calls for a retreat of DIA to the $200 zone at least once before it can tramp higher in a compelling way.<br />
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In addition to the circle of 30 titans tracked by the Dow index, another leading benchmark lies in the troupe of 500 giants monitored by the Standard & Poor’s company. The yardstick is tracked by an index fund which runs under the banner of SPY.<br />
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Moreover, the third stalwart of the bourse deals with the Nasdaq market. On this exchange, a broad-based yardstick known as the Composite Index is widely reported by the financial media. On the other hand, a subset of the market made up of a hundred giants is the mainstay for practical investing. The tracking vehicle for the Nasdaq 100 Index – also known by the nickname of NDX – is found in QQQ.<br />
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This report examines the special aspects of SPY and QQQ which distinguish their prospects from DIA. Moreover a pointed forecast of each of the broader benchmarks is also provided.<br />
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From a larger stance, we can assess the relative movements of the benchmarks during the recent past. Over the past 5 years, the Spyders rose by 1.28% on average for every percentage rise of the Diamonds. Meanwhile the corresponding figure for the Qubes was 1.88%.<br />
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If a similar relationship were to hold over the course of this year, an advance of 14% by DIA would entail an upturn of nearly 18% by SPY. The latter amount is plausible and even likely.<br />
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By the same type of reasoning, QQQ would surge by a little over 26% by the end of this year. On the other hand, such a big jump for the Qubes seems unlikely for a couple of reasons. One hang-up lies in the landmark at 5,000 points for the underlying benchmark – that is, the Nasdaq 100 index – which will weigh on the market over the next year or so.<br />
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In short, the trio of stalwarts for the U.S. bourse will trudge onward and upward through a series of zigzags as usual. The story will unfold in a similar fashion for the other markets round the globe.<br />
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Although there are plenty of exceptions, the bourses of the budding regions often advance roughly twice as much as the Diamonds or Spyders. In that case, an upswell for DIA ought to accompany a lively surge for the emerging markets.<br />
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On a negative note, though, the feisty markets also tend to be the most flighty. To bring up another factor, the mass of investors remain somewhat skittish at this stage. As a result, the international crowd may well refrain from moving en masse into the budding markets over the next few years.<br />
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The task of forecasting this year poses a challenge of uncommon complexity. For starters, the forces in play include a passel of routine factors as well as wayward facets. An example of a commonplace theme involves fundamental drivers such as business conditions and monetary policies in the real economy, or technical motifs as in seasonal patterns and multiyear trends in the financial tract.<br />
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Due to the burly landmark at the 20,000 level, the Dow index is slated to thrash about more than usual. As a result, the Diamonds will flounder around the $200 zone. In a similar way, the Nasdaq 100 benchmark has to grapple with a major hurdle at the 5,000 level. Partly as a result, the Qubes are slated to dance around the vicinity of $122.<br />
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On the bright side, the S&P index does not face any roadblocks near its current location in the vicinity of 2,300 units. In that case, the Spyders are free to move higher – although their ascent will be damped in part by the travails of the Diamonds and Spyders. Even so, SPY finds itself in a favorable position compared to the lot of DIA and QQQ.<br />
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Amid the pother on the bourse, the swarm of international investors will continue to fret over the icky conditions in the mature economies. An example involves the quagmire in Europe caused by the housing bubble, followed by a raft of witless schemes ranging from the prop-up of real estate to the rescue of brain-dead banks from their own rabid bets.<br />
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Another sample concerns a profligate response to mass migration. A number of countries in Europe have accepted droves of transplants by the millions at a stroke. The showcases lie in Germany and Sweden which have admitted unlimited numbers of refugees and pledged to pay for the upkeep of the newcomers and their descendants forever in manifold ways ranging from cash stipends and paid housing to free healthcare and unpriced education. The upshot is a massive burden for the taxpayers which will amount to trillions of euros over the decades to come. The millstone will cripple not only the spendthrift countries but hamper the entire continent. If the lurching markets of Europe and the U.S. plod along at a stunted pace, then the emerging regions will also suffer due to the throttling of export earnings in particular and economic growth in general.<br />
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Over the past half-decade, equity investors have favored the U.S. over the rest of the planet including Europe. On the other hand, the anxiety over secondary markets will not last forever. For one thing, the bulk of economic growth for the world as a whole springs from the emerging regions. As a result, their stock markets ought to surge when the American bourse climbs.<br />
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At some point, the mass of investors will stop fretting over the up-and-coming regions. In that case, the nascent markets will come to life with gusto. In line with earlier remarks, though, the developed countries will continue to wheeze and stagger until the 2020s at least. For this reason, it's unlikely that the emerging regions and their stock markets as a group will burgeon anytime soon.<br />
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To sum up, the trio of index funds for the U.S. bourse will totter onward and upward in a fitful fashion as usual. The plot will unfold in a similar fashion for the other stock markets of the world.<br />
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Although there are plenty of exceptions, the bourses of the budding regions often advance roughly twice as much as the Diamonds or Spyders. For instance, an upturn of 15% for DIA is apt to impel an uplift of 30% or so for the frisky markets.<br />
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On a negative note, though, the jejune bourses are prone to be much more volatile than their American counterparts. Moreover the mass of investors remain somewhat nervous at this stage. For this reason, the international crowd is apt to hold back rather than rush into the emerging markets over the coming year and beyond.<br />
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On the bright side, the emerging regions generate the bulk of economic growth for the world as a whole. Sooner or later, the superior performance of the dynamos in the real economy will attract a flood of capital into the blooming markets.<br />
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The inrush of mint could perhaps begin within a few years. In that case, the bourses of the sprightly regions will snap out of the funk they endured since 2011 and revert to their custom of trumping the benchmarks of the mature countries. Given the hulking problems in Europe and elsewhere, however, the bourses of the emerging regions may have to dodder along for a few more years before they surge ahead as befits their performance in the real economy.<br />
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<span style="color: red;">NOTE</span>: The full report is available under the title of “Forecast of Top Index Funds for Investing in the Stock Market”. The updated version, available in PDF form, may be downloaded from the <a href="http://www.mintkit.com/lib" target="_blank">Library at MintKit</a>.<br />
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<br />Unknownnoreply@blogger.com